söndag 15 maj 2011

Movement towards democracy...or...

Still demonstrations in Syria are ongoing. The heat is growing, both in air and in politics and people are suffering. The wave of protestants that started in northern africa a couple of months ago seem to be never ending ín arabic-speeking countries. The big difference is the reaction of the rest of the world. In countries such as Egypt, military forces against the protestants was minor, people did not get hurt during the demonstrations. But please observe that now, that the country is lead by military forces, opposition is taken care of and is being imprisoned. The government watches videos from the spring demonstrations and takes care of the "problem". ... and the world is silent.

Then there is Libya. Libyan president Ghaddafi soon experienced the harch reaction of the world. Now, UN is discussing how the libyan civil war  i effecting the world outside. First: I do not think that this is a civil war anymore as several countries now are engaged into this war and a civil war by definition can only be performed between people in their own country. So, we are talking about an ordinary war now as UN airforce has bombed targets in Libya and even killed one of Ghaddafi's sons and wounded him. The UN operation that from the beginning was supposed to help opponent rebels, now started its own life and has been introduced into a full-scale war. This is why I even understand Swedish Socialparty leader who says that the Swedish participation should end after the planned period. If Swedish airforce continues its UN operations, it will be difficult to avoid militant war actions. Then that is the question: does Sweden really want to be engaged into a multi-national war?

The latest of all conquests are the happenings in Syria. The militant actions of Syrian president Bashar Al Assad can easily be compared with Ghaddafis actions. Still, UN is waiting. Many writers, bloggers, newspapers are talking about UNs wish to support "the devil you know" instead of not knowing which devil that will follow...  Thing is, what happens if Syrians regim cannot subpress demonstrations by oldfashioned scare-tactics and militant interactions? I cannot see that a democratic leadership will follow as long as the President does not imply democratic movement at first. ..before he quits.

The problem is that the president does not hold all the strains of leadership in his hands. There are several clans and families that have strong political power and who are scared to loose this power if the president resigns. Moreover, the only organized group that had a right to exist, is the islamic brotherhood, as Syrian regim did not approve other political parties. So, who is going to have the possibility to run for president in Syria if not the islamic brotherhood? This, in my eyes, forms the worst case scenario as I do not believe in a mixture of religion and politic power. This will not bring the country forward and it will absolutely not stand for the emancipation of women.

So, what is the solution, you might ask. I believe in education, see to it that the Syrian people and its government allows multi-party politics and later on free elections. This will give different groups perspective and the possibility to organize to be capable to partizipate in elections held by i.e. UN.

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